This is the coolest animation of ENSO forecast skill I have ever seen. Not only does it give great insight into what is happening it yields insight into the evolution of forecasts as they are being chased by observations lagging a few months behind. The only reason why you wouldn’t care is if you don’t care about what kind of winter/summer you are going to be in for in the coming months. Looking forward to retrospectives of this La Nina miss – what is the ocean responding to that the models don’t see?

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